ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiFL-19 Republican primary: Catalina Lauf vote percent·At least 40%·1%(-97%)FL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 15%·99%(+94%)FL-19 Republican primary: Jim Schwartzel vote percent·At least 30%·5%(-88%)FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?·Ryan Elijah, 12-16%·98%(+81%)FL-06 Republican primary: Randy Fine vote percent·At least 55%·99%(+79%)Alaska Senate: who will advance?·David Leslie·83%(+78%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 19, 2026?·39.2·99%(+77%)Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?·Heidi Overton·96%(+76%)FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, 40-50%·7%(-57%)FL-02 Republican primary: Keith Gross vote percent·At least 20%·2%(-57%)MI-13 House winner?·T.P. Nykoriak·5.7%(-56.3%)Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?·Delcy Rodríguez·40%(-55%)Alaska at-large congressional district primary: Bill Hill vote percent·At least 35%·1%(-54%)FL-02 Republican primary: Austin Rogers vote percent·At least 30%·98%(+53%)AK-AL primary: Who will advance?·John Brendan Williams·2%(-52%)
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Summary

Stephen Miran is favored at 12% as of 20 Aug 2026, 01:34 UTC across 12 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Stephen Miran: 12% (24h change 0%)
  • Judy Shelton: 9.2% (24h change 0%)
  • Michelle Bowman: 8.9% (24h change 0%)
  • Lorie Logan: 5.9% (24h change 0%)
  • Marc Sumerlin: 5.2% (24h change 0%)
  • Kevin Hassett: 4.2% (24h change 0%)
  • Rick Rieder: 2.5% (24h change 0%)
  • Christopher Waller: 1.1% (24h change 0%)
  • James Bullard: 1.1% (24h change 0%)
  • Scott Bessent: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • David Malpass: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Philip Jefferson: 1% (24h change 0%)
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