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Live market summary

Michelle Bowman is favored at 8.9% as of 4 Oct 2026, 03:05 UTC across 12 markets.

  • Michelle Bowman: 8.9% (24h change 0%)
  • Philip Jefferson: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • James Bullard: 5.7% (24h change 0%)
  • Stephen Miran: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • Kevin Hassett: 4.2% (24h change 0%)
  • Judy Shelton: 3.2% (24h change 0%)
  • Rick Rieder: 2.1% (24h change 0%)
  • Christopher Waller: 1.1% (24h change 0%)
  • Marc Sumerlin: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Scott Bessent: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Lorie Logan: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • David Malpass: 1% (24h change 0%)
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Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?

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About this market

Market question: Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?

Michelle Bowman is favored at 8.9% as of 4 Oct 2026, 03:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?

Michelle Bowman: 8.9%; Philip Jefferson: 6%; James Bullard: 5.7%; Stephen Miran: 5%; Kevin Hassett: 4.2%; Judy Shelton: 3.2%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.