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Powered by KalshiWhen will the House leave for its pre-election recess?·Before Sep 18, 2026·94%(+84%)Minnesota State Senate winner?·Republican party·16%(-83%)Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?·Missouri Amendment 3·95%(+75%)Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026)·At least 15·16%(-54%)Which states will redistrict before the midterms?·Alabama·1%(-53%)Who will receive the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026?·Sean Hannity·56%(+49%)How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026?·Exactly 2·57%(+48.5%)Will the 11th Circuit rule non-intervened False Claims Act qui tam suits unconstitutional?·Before 2028·2%(-47%)Which states will Trump visit in 2026?·Alaska·87%(+47%)Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place·Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva·50%(+43%)When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax?·Before Nov 1, 2026·82%(+43%)Will a GOP member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment?·Before 2028·75%(+38%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (8/28-9/4)?·Above 5.9%·7%(-38%)Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Green Party vote percent·At least 20%·58%(+37%)Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)·Ro Khanna·25%(-34%)

Live market summary

Will a federal film or TV production tax credit become law? is favored at 18% as of 3 Sep 2026, 18:03 UTC across 1 market.

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Will a federal film or TV production tax credit become law?

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Will a federal film or TV production tax credit become law?

18%

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$3K

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

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Who is favored in Will a federal film or TV production tax credit become law?

Will a federal film or TV production tax credit become law? is favored at 18% as of 3 Sep 2026, 18:03 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Will a federal film or TV production tax credit become law?

Will a federal film or TV production tax credit become law?: 18%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.