Marine Le Pen is favored at 78% as of 13 Oct 2026, 11:05 UTC across 14 markets.
- Marine Le Pen: 78% (24h change 0%)
- Édouard Philippe: 7% (24h change 0%)
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Jordan Bardella: 2% (24h change 0%)
- David Lisnard: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Dominique de Villepin: 1% (24h change 0%)
- François Ruffin: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Marine Tondelier: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Xavier Bertrand: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Éric Zemmour: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Bruno Retailleau: 1% (24h change 0%)
- François Hollande: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Gabriel Attal: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Raphaël Glucksmann: 1% (24h change 0%)
Next French presidential election: 1st place (1st round)
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Odds history
About this market
Market question: Next French presidential election: 1st place (1st round)
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Next French presidential election: 1st place (1st round)?
Marine Le Pen is favored at 78% as of 13 Oct 2026, 11:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Next French presidential election: 1st place (1st round)?
Marine Le Pen: 78%; Édouard Philippe: 7%; Jean-Luc Mélenchon: 4%; Jordan Bardella: 2%; David Lisnard: 1%; Dominique de Villepin: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.