Jean-Luc Mélenchon is favored at 36% as of 13 Oct 2026, 10:05 UTC across 14 markets.
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon: 36% (24h change 0%)
- Édouard Philippe: 32% (24h change 0%)
- Raphaël Glucksmann: 6% (24h change 0%)
- Gabriel Attal: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Marine Le Pen: 4% (24h change 0%)
- François Hollande: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Jordan Bardella: 3% (24h change 0%)
- David Lisnard: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Bruno Retailleau: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Dominique de Villepin: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Éric Zemmour: 1% (24h change 0%)
- François Ruffin: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Marine Tondelier: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Xavier Bertrand: 1% (24h change 0%)
Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round)
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Odds history
About this market
Market question: Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round)
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round)?
Jean-Luc Mélenchon is favored at 36% as of 13 Oct 2026, 10:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round)?
Jean-Luc Mélenchon: 36%; Édouard Philippe: 32%; Raphaël Glucksmann: 6%; Gabriel Attal: 4%; Marine Le Pen: 4%; François Hollande: 3%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.