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Summary

China is favored at 24% as of 28 Jul 2026, 05:03 UTC across 8 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • China: 24% (24h change +5%)
  • Argentina: 19% (24h change 0%)
  • European Union: 18% (24h change 0%)
  • India: 17% (24h change 0%)
  • United Kingdom: 15% (24h change 0%)
  • Indonesia: 15% (24h change 0%)
  • Taiwan: 11% (24h change 0%)
  • Kenya: 9% (24h change 0%)
policy8 marketsLIVE

Which countries will Trump make formal trade deals with in 2026?

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All options

China

24%
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India

17%
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Taiwan

11%
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