Live market summary
Above 10% is favored at 50% as of 17 Sep 2026, 01:35 UTC across 4 markets.
- Above 10%: 50% (24h change 0%)
- Above 12%: 39% (24h change 0%)
- Above 14%: 22% (24h change 0%)
- Above 16%: 17% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Midterms: Republican share of Black vote?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Midterms: Republican share of Black vote?
Above 10% is favored at 50% as of 17 Sep 2026, 01:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Midterms: Republican share of Black vote?
Above 10%: 50%; Above 12%: 39%; Above 14%: 22%; Above 16%: 17%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.