Back
Live market summary

Florida is favored at 82% as of 22 Oct 2026, 19:37 UTC across 15 markets.

  • Florida: 82% (24h change 0%)
  • Kansas: 73% (24h change 0%)
  • Texas: 71% (24h change -3%)
  • Georgia: 45% (24h change 0%)
  • Ohio: 28% (24h change 0%)
  • New Hampshire: 18% (24h change 0%)
  • Iowa: 16% (24h change +7%)
  • Alaska: 13% (24h change +4%)
  • Arizona: 12% (24h change 0%)
  • Nevada: 8% (24h change 0%)
  • Pennsylvania: 7% (24h change 0%)
  • Wisconsin: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Michigan: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Vermont: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Minnesota: 2% (24h change 0%)
policy15 marketsLIVE

Which states will Republicans win a trifecta in 2026?

Trade ↗

All options

Texas

71%
Trade ↗

Ohio

28%
Trade ↗

Iowa

16%
Trade ↗

Alaska

13%
Trade ↗
About this market

Market question: Which states will Republicans win a trifecta in 2026?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Which states will Republicans win a trifecta in 2026?

Florida is favored at 82% as of 22 Oct 2026, 19:37 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Which states will Republicans win a trifecta in 2026?

Florida: 82%; Kansas: 73%; Texas: 71%; Georgia: 45%; Ohio: 28%; New Hampshire: 18%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.