At least 50 billion is favored at 7% as of 4 Oct 2026, 00:35 UTC across 6 markets.
- At least 50 billion: 7% (24h change +0.5%)
- At least 750 billion: 3.9% (24h change 0%)
- At least 1 trillion: 3.9% (24h change 0%)
- At least 250 billion: 3.1% (24h change 0%)
- At least 500 billion: 3.1% (24h change 0%)
- At least 2 trillion: 3.1% (24h change 0%)
How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?
At least 50 billion is favored at 7% as of 4 Oct 2026, 00:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?
At least 50 billion: 7%; At least 750 billion: 3.9%; At least 1 trillion: 3.9%; At least 250 billion: 3.1%; At least 500 billion: 3.1%; At least 2 trillion: 3.1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.