Before January 21, 2029 is favored at 23% as of 4 Oct 2026, 09:04 UTC across 2 markets.
- Before January 21, 2029: 23% (24h change +1%)
- Before 2027: 3.2% (24h change +0.1%)
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
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About this market
Market question: Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
Before January 21, 2029 is favored at 23% as of 4 Oct 2026, 09:04 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
Before January 21, 2029: 23%; Before 2027: 3.2%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.