Conservative Party is favored at 43% as of 22 Sep 2026, 04:05 UTC across 15 markets.
- Conservative Party: 43% (24h change 0%)
- Reform UK: 42% (24h change 0%)
- Liberal Democrats: 5% (24h change 0%)
- Workers Party: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Green Party: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Communist League: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Labour Party: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Rejoin EU: 1% (24h change 0%)
- UKIP - NO to Illegal Immigration: 1% (24h change 0%)
- UK VOICE safer and stronger UK: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Official Monster Raving Loony Party: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Tom Darwood: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Christian Peoples Alliance: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Climate Party: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Restore Britain: 1% (24h change 0%)
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 3rd place
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Odds history
About this market
Market question: Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 3rd place
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 3rd place?
Conservative Party is favored at 43% as of 22 Sep 2026, 04:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 3rd place?
Conservative Party: 43%; Reform UK: 42%; Liberal Democrats: 5%; Workers Party: 4%; Green Party: 3%; Communist League: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.