Live market summary
Above 4 is favored at 92% as of 25 Sep 2026, 22:07 UTC across 4 markets.
- Above 4: 92% (24h change 0%)
- Above 10: 17% (24h change 0%)
- Above 12: 11% (24h change 0%)
- Above 14: 8% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)?
Above 4 is favored at 92% as of 25 Sep 2026, 22:07 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)?
Above 4: 92%; Above 10: 17%; Above 12: 11%; Above 14: 8%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.