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Live market summary

Above 5 is favored at 64% as of 10 Oct 2026, 03:36 UTC across 6 markets.

  • Above 5: 64% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 6: 34% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 8: 10% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 10: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 14: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 12: 2% (24h change 0%)
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Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

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About this market

Market question: Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)?

Above 5 is favored at 64% as of 10 Oct 2026, 03:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)?

Above 5: 64%; Above 6: 34%; Above 8: 10%; Above 10: 6%; Above 14: 3%; Above 12: 2%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.