Live market summary
Above 5 is favored at 93% as of 18 Sep 2026, 21:06 UTC across 4 markets.
- Above 5: 93% (24h change 0%)
- Above 15: 11% (24h change 0%)
- Above 20: 6% (24h change 0%)
- Above 25: 6% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)?
Above 5 is favored at 93% as of 18 Sep 2026, 21:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)?
Above 5: 93%; Above 15: 11%; Above 20: 6%; Above 25: 6%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.