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Live market summary

Above 10 is favored at 97% as of 26 Sep 2026, 00:36 UTC across 11 markets.

  • Above 10: 97% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 15: 95% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 20: 85% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 25: 44% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 30: 33% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 40: 16% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 35: 12% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 45: 10% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 50: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 75: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 100: 2% (24h change 0%)
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Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)

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About this market

Market question: Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)?

Above 10 is favored at 97% as of 26 Sep 2026, 00:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)?

Above 10: 97%; Above 15: 95%; Above 20: 85%; Above 25: 44%; Above 30: 33%; Above 40: 16%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.