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Live market summary

Above 20 is favored at 93% as of 18 Sep 2026, 20:36 UTC across 9 markets.

  • Above 20: 93% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 25: 85% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 30: 20% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 35: 15% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 40: 12% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 45: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 50: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 75: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 100: 1% (24h change 0%)
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Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)

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About this market

Market question: Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)?

Above 20 is favored at 93% as of 18 Sep 2026, 20:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)?

Above 20: 93%; Above 25: 85%; Above 30: 20%; Above 35: 15%; Above 40: 12%; Above 45: 6%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.