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Live market summary

Before Jan 1, 2028 is favored at 65% as of 23 Oct 2026, 12:37 UTC across 10 markets.

  • Before Jan 1, 2028: 65% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Oct 1, 2027: 63% (24h change -1%)
  • Before Aug 1, 2027: 53% (24h change +2%)
  • Before Jul 1, 2027: 49% (24h change -1%)
  • Before Jun 1, 2027: 42% (24h change 0%)
  • Before May 1, 2027: 39% (24h change -1%)
  • Before Apr 1, 2027: 35% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Mar 1, 2027: 28% (24h change +1%)
  • Before Feb 1, 2027: 16% (24h change -1%)
  • Before Jan 1, 2027: 3.6% (24h change -0.1%)
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Will Trump be impeached?

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About this market

Market question: Will Trump be impeached?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Will Trump be impeached?

Before Jan 1, 2028 is favored at 65% as of 23 Oct 2026, 12:37 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Will Trump be impeached?

Before Jan 1, 2028: 65%; Before Oct 1, 2027: 63%; Before Aug 1, 2027: 53%; Before Jul 1, 2027: 49%; Before Jun 1, 2027: 42%; Before May 1, 2027: 39%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.