Powered by KalshiTN-06 House winner?·Mike Croley·93.8%(+88.8%)Who will be arrested in 2026?·Lee Jun-seok·11%(-87%)Which peptides will the FDA propose adding to the 503A Bulks List?·BPC-157·10%(-80%)Texas Senate General Election: voter turnout·Above 10.00M·2%(-78%)Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?·Karoline Leavitt·99.3%(+73.3%)How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (8/9-8/15)·At least 1·5%(-65%)FL-11 Republican nominee?·Joe Strada·18%(-60%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·No new person·1%(-57%)Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?·Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?·5.8%(-56.2%)When will the Senate pass a budget resolution?·Before Jan 1, 2027·37%(-54%)TN-05 House winner?·Chaz Molder·6.5%(-53.5%)Louisiana's 2nd District margin of victory·Democrats, 50+ pts·60%(+51.3%)CT-01 Democratic primary: John Larson vote percent·At least 31%·98%(+50%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/9-8/15)·At least 5·99%(+48%)Swiss initiatives: September 2026·Neutrality Initiative·52%(+47%)

Powered by KalshiTN-06 House winner?·Mike Croley·93.8%(+88.8%)Who will be arrested in 2026?·Lee Jun-seok·11%(-87%)Which peptides will the FDA propose adding to the 503A Bulks List?·BPC-157·10%(-80%)Texas Senate General Election: voter turnout·Above 10.00M·2%(-78%)Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?·Karoline Leavitt·99.3%(+73.3%)How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (8/9-8/15)·At least 1·5%(-65%)FL-11 Republican nominee?·Joe Strada·18%(-60%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·No new person·1%(-57%)Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?·Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?·5.8%(-56.2%)When will the Senate pass a budget resolution?·Before Jan 1, 2027·37%(-54%)TN-05 House winner?·Chaz Molder·6.5%(-53.5%)Louisiana's 2nd District margin of victory·Democrats, 50+ pts·60%(+51.3%)CT-01 Democratic primary: John Larson vote percent·At least 31%·98%(+50%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/9-8/15)·At least 5·99%(+48%)Swiss initiatives: September 2026·Neutrality Initiative·52%(+47%)

Summary

At least 1 is favored at 37% as of 13 Aug 2026, 20:05 UTC across 2 markets. Kalshi odds.

congressional2 marketsLIVE

How many independents will be elected to Congress in the midterms?

Odds history

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At least 1

37%

—

$100

At least 3

6%

—

$747