Likud is favored at 98% as of 22 Sep 2026, 15:35 UTC across 19 markets.
- Likud: 98% (24h change 0%)
- Together: 98% (24h change 0%)
- Yashar: 97% (24h change 0%)
- Shas: 97% (24h change 0%)
- Yisrael Beiteinu: 96% (24h change 0%)
- Ra'am: 90% (24h change 0%)
- Otzma Yehudit: 90% (24h change 0%)
- RZP-Zehut: 86% (24h change 0%)
- People of Israel: 52% (24h change 0%)
- New Economic Party: 12% (24h change +4%)
- Haredi Public: 10% (24h change 0%)
- Zionist Home–The Reservists: 8% (24h change +2%)
- Noam for Israel: 7% (24h change 0%)
- Zehut: 5% (24h change 0%)
- Blue and White: 5% (24h change 0%)
- Unity: 5% (24h change 0%)
- Israel First: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Religious Zionist Party: 3% (24h change 0%)
- A Place for All of Us: 3% (24h change 0%)
Which lists will win a Knesset seat?
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Odds history
About this market
Market question: Which lists will win a Knesset seat?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Which lists will win a Knesset seat?
Likud is favored at 98% as of 22 Sep 2026, 15:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Which lists will win a Knesset seat?
Likud: 98%; Together: 98%; Yashar: 97%; Shas: 97%; Yisrael Beiteinu: 96%; Ra'am: 90%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.