Election
Odds
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U.S. Midterms 2026
2028 President
Congress
Policy
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·
Updated just now
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Virginia Senate margin of victory
·
Democrats, 7+ pts
·
88%
(+87.7%)
When will ICE removal operations be funded again?
·
Before Jun 1, 2026
·
0.1%
(-83.9%)
Virginia's 11th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 11+ pts
·
83%
(+83%)
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
·
Before May 24, 2026
·
0%
(-83%)
FL-10 Republican nominee?
·
Stuart Farber
·
31%
(-45%)
FL-23 Republican nominee?
·
Joe Kaufman
·
16%
(-45%)
Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?
·
Oregon
·
32%
(-44%)
FL-27 Democratic nominee?
·
Robin Peguero
·
23%
(-41%)
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary?
·
Before Aug 1, 2026
·
22%
(-41%)
FL-16 Democratic nominee?
·
Jan Schneider
·
23%
(-37%)
MI-13 Republican nominee?
·
Raphiel King
·
10%
(-35%)
PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory
·
Chris Rabb, 15-20%
·
87%
(+33%)
Georgia Republican Senate primary: Buddy Carter vote percent
·
20% - 25%
·
12%
(-32%)
CA-37 primary: Who will advance?
·
Baltazar Fedalizo
·
61%
(+31%)
Ohio's 9th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 3+ pts
·
28%
(-31%)
Powered by
Kalshi
Virginia Senate margin of victory
·
Democrats, 7+ pts
·
88%
(+87.7%)
When will ICE removal operations be funded again?
·
Before Jun 1, 2026
·
0.1%
(-83.9%)
Virginia's 11th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 11+ pts
·
83%
(+83%)
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
·
Before May 24, 2026
·
0%
(-83%)
FL-10 Republican nominee?
·
Stuart Farber
·
31%
(-45%)
FL-23 Republican nominee?
·
Joe Kaufman
·
16%
(-45%)
Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?
·
Oregon
·
32%
(-44%)
FL-27 Democratic nominee?
·
Robin Peguero
·
23%
(-41%)
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary?
·
Before Aug 1, 2026
·
22%
(-41%)
FL-16 Democratic nominee?
·
Jan Schneider
·
23%
(-37%)
MI-13 Republican nominee?
·
Raphiel King
·
10%
(-35%)
PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory
·
Chris Rabb, 15-20%
·
87%
(+33%)
Georgia Republican Senate primary: Buddy Carter vote percent
·
20% - 25%
·
12%
(-32%)
CA-37 primary: Who will advance?
·
Baltazar Fedalizo
·
61%
(+31%)
Ohio's 9th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 3+ pts
·
28%
(-31%)
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