Powered by KalshiPeak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)·July 24·96%(+95%)Pennsylvania State House winner?·Democratic party·46%(-42%)Who will drop out of their primary?·James Fishback·4.7%(-40.3%)Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?·Before Jan 1, 2027·54%(+36%)Who will Trump pardon?·Do Kwon·24%(-36%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Buenrostro-Mendez v. Blanche·42%(-33%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 55·47%(+31%)How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?·At least 3·53%(+31%)Will new tariffs become law?·Before Nov 1, 2026·59%(+29%)Navajo Nation presidential election winner?·Crystalyne Curley·62%(+28%)When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?·Before Jan 1, 2027·33%(-24%)Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?·Thomas Massie·43%(-22%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/26-8/1)·At least 4·53%(-22%)Clacton by-election: Count Binface vote percent·At least 20%·47%(-22%)Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?·During Trump's term·68%(+20%)

Powered by KalshiPeak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)·July 24·96%(+95%)Pennsylvania State House winner?·Democratic party·46%(-42%)Who will drop out of their primary?·James Fishback·4.7%(-40.3%)Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?·Before Jan 1, 2027·54%(+36%)Who will Trump pardon?·Do Kwon·24%(-36%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Buenrostro-Mendez v. Blanche·42%(-33%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 55·47%(+31%)How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?·At least 3·53%(+31%)Will new tariffs become law?·Before Nov 1, 2026·59%(+29%)Navajo Nation presidential election winner?·Crystalyne Curley·62%(+28%)When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?·Before Jan 1, 2027·33%(-24%)Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?·Thomas Massie·43%(-22%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/26-8/1)·At least 4·53%(-22%)Clacton by-election: Count Binface vote percent·At least 20%·47%(-22%)Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?·During Trump's term·68%(+20%)

Summary

Before Dec 1, 2026 is favored at 27% as of 28 Jul 2026, 23:03 UTC across 5 markets. Kalshi odds.

cabinet5 marketsLIVE

Kash Patel out as FBI Director?

All options

Before Dec 1, 2026

27%

▼ -3%

$31K

Before Nov 1, 2026

19%

▲ +1%

$15K

Before Oct 1, 2026

15%

▼ -1%

$10K

Before Sep 1, 2026

6%

—

$12K

Before Aug 1, 2026

0.9%

▼ -0.3%

$641K