Before January 1, 2028 is favored at 27% as of 25 Sep 2026, 05:06 UTC across 3 markets.
- Before January 1, 2028: 27% (24h change 0%)
- Before July 1, 2027: 12% (24h change 0%)
- Before January 1, 2027: 0.9% (24h change 0%)
Lai Ching-te departure announced?
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Odds history
About this market
Market question: Lai Ching-te departure announced?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Lai Ching-te departure announced?
Before January 1, 2028 is favored at 27% as of 25 Sep 2026, 05:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Lai Ching-te departure announced?
Before January 1, 2028: 27%; Before July 1, 2027: 12%; Before January 1, 2027: 0.9%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.