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Live market summary

United List is favored at 98.8% as of 4 Oct 2026, 12:35 UTC across 9 markets.

  • United List: 98.8% (24h change +3.8%)
  • The Progressives: 9.9% (24h change 0%)
  • Latvia First: 6.6% (24h change 0%)
  • For Stability!: 4.1% (24h change 0%)
  • Union of Greens and Farmers: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Social Democratic Party "Harmony": 3% (24h change 0%)
  • National Alliance: 1.2% (24h change 0%)
  • Sovereign Power: 1.1% (24h change 0%)
  • New Unity: 1% (24h change 0%)
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Latvia parliamentary election winner?

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About this market

Market question: Latvia parliamentary election winner?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Latvia parliamentary election winner?

United List is favored at 98.8% as of 4 Oct 2026, 12:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Latvia parliamentary election winner?

United List: 98.8%; The Progressives: 9.9%; Latvia First: 6.6%; For Stability!: 4.1%; Union of Greens and Farmers: 3%; Social Democratic Party "Harmony": 3%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.