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Launceston mayoral election winner?

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Live market summary

Matthew Garwood is favored at 67% as of 25 Oct 2026, 08:07 UTC across 4 markets.

  • Matthew Garwood: 67% (24h change +10%)
  • Kyle Barrett: 23% (24h change 0%)
  • Paul Mallett: 7% (24h change 0%)
  • Rose Diamond: 6% (24h change 0%)

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About this market

Market question: Launceston mayoral election winner?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Launceston mayoral election winner?

Matthew Garwood is favored at 67% as of 25 Oct 2026, 08:07 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Launceston mayoral election winner?

Matthew Garwood: 67%; Kyle Barrett: 23%; Paul Mallett: 7%; Rose Diamond: 6%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.