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Powered by KalshiHI-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Ed Case, ≥15%·99%(+88%)WA-08 primary: who will advance?·Spencer Meline·99%(+75%)NC-11 Republican nominee on Aug 11, 2026?·Tim Moffitt·6%(-67%)Ken Martin out as DNC chair?·Before Sep 1, 2026·69%(+61%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary: Russell Fry vote percent (1st Round)·At least 35%·64%(+59%)HI-01 Democratic nominee?·Ed Case·99.9%(+53.9%)HI-01 Democratic nominee?·Ed Case·99%(+50%)When will the UK's social media ban take effect?·Before Aug 1, 2027·34%(-44%)Wisconsin Attorney General winner?·Republican party·15%(-43%)Ohio's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 6+ pts·58%(+42%)Alaska Governor primary: who will advance?·Adam Crum·47%(+40.5%)How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?·At least 7·14%(-38%)Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader?·Before Jan 1, 2027·52%(+33%)FL-25 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Jared Moskowitz, ≥25%·75%(+28%)CO-04 House winner?·Eileen Laubacher·7.8%(-27.2%)
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Summary

Election Postponed Beyond Expiration is favored at 61% as of 7 Aug 2026, 18:34 UTC across 10 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Election Postponed Beyond Expiration: 61% (24h change 0%)
  • Lebanese Forces: 8.6% (24h change 0%)
  • Amal Movement: 5.2% (24h change 0%)
  • PSP: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • Kataeb: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • Tashnag: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • Marada Movement: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • Independence Movement: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • FPM: 2.6% (24h change 0%)
  • Hezbollah: 1% (24h change 0%)
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Lebanese general election winner?

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