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Live market summary

Before Apr 1, 2027 is favored at 19% as of 5 Sep 2026, 04:04 UTC across 2 markets.

  • Before Apr 1, 2027: 19% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Jan 1, 2027: 8% (24h change 0%)
policy2 marketsLIVE

Will nonstop U.S.–Lebanon passenger flights resume?

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How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

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Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Will nonstop U.S.–Lebanon passenger flights resume?

Before Apr 1, 2027 is favored at 19% as of 5 Sep 2026, 04:04 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Will nonstop U.S.–Lebanon passenger flights resume?

Before Apr 1, 2027: 19%; Before Jan 1, 2027: 8%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.