Before Jan 1, 2030 is favored at 40% as of 22 Sep 2026, 12:34 UTC across 4 markets.
- Before Jan 1, 2030: 40% (24h change 0%)
- Before Jan 1, 2029: 16% (24h change 0%)
- Before Jan 1, 2028: 8% (24h change 0%)
- Before Jan 1, 2027: 3% (24h change 0%)
Will Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Will Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Will Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City?
Before Jan 1, 2030 is favored at 40% as of 22 Sep 2026, 12:34 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Will Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 40%; Before Jan 1, 2029: 16%; Before Jan 1, 2028: 8%; Before Jan 1, 2027: 3%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.