Live market summary
Before Jan 20, 2029 is favored at 31% as of 4 Oct 2026, 06:05 UTC across 1 market.
- Before Jan 20, 2029: 31% (24h change -5%)
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Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?
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About this market
Market question: Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?
Before Jan 20, 2029 is favored at 31% as of 4 Oct 2026, 06:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?
Before Jan 20, 2029: 31%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.