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Live market summary

At least 10 is favored at 41% as of 2 Oct 2026, 00:05 UTC across 4 markets.

  • At least 10: 41% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 12: 36% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 16: 28% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 25: 5% (24h change 0%)
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Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026)

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About this market

Market question: Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026)

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026)?

At least 10 is favored at 41% as of 2 Oct 2026, 00:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026)?

At least 10: 41%; At least 12: 36%; At least 16: 28%; At least 25: 5%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.