Republicans, 14+ pts is favored at 74% as of 10 Sep 2026, 10:35 UTC across 9 markets.
- Republicans, 14+ pts: 74% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 16+ pts: 62% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 18+ pts: 57% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 20+ pts: 42% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 28+ pts: 34% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 32+ pts: 26% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 30+ pts: 20% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 34+ pts: 15% (24h change 0%)
- Republicans, 24+ pts: 8.6% (24h change 0%)
Arkansas Senate margin of victory
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Arkansas Senate margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Arkansas Senate margin of victory?
Republicans, 14+ pts is favored at 74% as of 10 Sep 2026, 10:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Arkansas Senate margin of victory?
Republicans, 14+ pts: 74%; Republicans, 16+ pts: 62%; Republicans, 18+ pts: 57%; Republicans, 20+ pts: 42%; Republicans, 28+ pts: 34%; Republicans, 32+ pts: 26%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.