California's 52nd District margin of victory
Trade ↗Vargas, 36+ pts is favored at 92.8% as of 25 Oct 2026, 05:36 UTC across 8 markets.
- Vargas, 36+ pts: 92.8% (24h change 0%)
- Vargas, 18+ pts: 89% (24h change 0%)
- Vargas, 21+ pts: 89% (24h change 0%)
- Vargas, 24+ pts: 83% (24h change 0%)
- Vargas, 27+ pts: 72% (24h change 0%)
- Vargas, 30+ pts: 59% (24h change +7%)
- Vargas, 33+ pts: 43% (24h change +7%)
- Vargas, 39+ pts: 15% (24h change +2%)
About this market
Market question: California's 52nd District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in California's 52nd District margin of victory?
Vargas, 36+ pts is favored at 92.8% as of 25 Oct 2026, 05:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for California's 52nd District margin of victory?
Vargas, 36+ pts: 92.8%; Vargas, 18+ pts: 89%; Vargas, 21+ pts: 89%; Vargas, 24+ pts: 83%; Vargas, 27+ pts: 72%; Vargas, 30+ pts: 59%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.