Democrats, 2+ pts is favored at 21% as of 10 Sep 2026, 14:35 UTC across 3 markets.
- Democrats, 2+ pts: 21% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 4+ pts: 11% (24h change -1%)
- Democrats, 6+ pts: 4.1% (24h change 0%)
Iowa Senate margin of victory
Trade ↗All options
Odds history
About this market
Market question: Iowa Senate margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Iowa Senate margin of victory?
Democrats, 2+ pts is favored at 21% as of 10 Sep 2026, 14:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Iowa Senate margin of victory?
Democrats, 2+ pts: 21%; Democrats, 4+ pts: 11%; Democrats, 6+ pts: 4.1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.