Democrats, 17+ pts is favored at 55% as of 8 Sep 2026, 19:36 UTC across 4 markets.
- Democrats, 17+ pts: 55% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 19+ pts: 55% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 21+ pts: 48% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 23+ pts: 47% (24h change 0%)
Illinois Senate margin of victory
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Illinois Senate margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Illinois Senate margin of victory?
Democrats, 17+ pts is favored at 55% as of 8 Sep 2026, 19:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Illinois Senate margin of victory?
Democrats, 17+ pts: 55%; Democrats, 19+ pts: 55%; Democrats, 21+ pts: 48%; Democrats, 23+ pts: 47%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.