Democrats, 4+ pts is favored at 88% as of 12 Sep 2026, 15:36 UTC across 9 markets.
- Democrats, 4+ pts: 88% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 7+ pts: 86% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 10+ pts: 81% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 13+ pts: 65% (24h change +34%)
- Democrats, 16+ pts: 53% (24h change -2%)
- Democrats, 19+ pts: 25% (24h change -1%)
- Democrats, 25+ pts: 18% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 22+ pts: 17% (24h change -1%)
- Democrats, 28+ pts: 9% (24h change 0%)
New York Governor margin of victory
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: New York Governor margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in New York Governor margin of victory?
Democrats, 4+ pts is favored at 88% as of 12 Sep 2026, 15:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for New York Governor margin of victory?
Democrats, 4+ pts: 88%; Democrats, 7+ pts: 86%; Democrats, 10+ pts: 81%; Democrats, 13+ pts: 65%; Democrats, 16+ pts: 53%; Democrats, 19+ pts: 25%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.