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Powered by KalshiWho will be the next DNC Chair?·David Hogg·98.4%(+93.4%)Who will become Prime Minister of India after next general election?·Rahul Gandhi·88%(+80%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)·Above 50·87%(+76%)Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration·$52.5 trillion·91%(+72%)Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention?·Philadelphia·93.4%(+70.4%)What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?·Argentina·27%(-62%)Malaysian general election winner?·BN-anchored coalition·94.2%(+60.2%)New Supreme Court justice confirmed?·Before 2028·69%(+52%)Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place·Ronaldo Caiado·65%(+45%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/24-7/31)?·Above 5.7%·98%(+44%)Which ballot measures will pass in California?·Proposition 38·54%(-43%)Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet Benjamin Netanyahu in Jul 2026?·Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet in person Benjamin Netanyahu before Aug 1, 2026?·99%(+40%)Wyoming Republican Governor nominee?·Eric Barlow·72%(+39%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 15·66%(+37%)MI-07 House winner?·Democratic party·63%(+36%)
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Summary

Democrats, 4+ pts is favored at 90.9% as of 28 Jul 2026, 12:33 UTC across 9 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Democrats, 4+ pts: 90.9% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 7+ pts: 85% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 10+ pts: 82% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 13+ pts: 78% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 16+ pts: 73% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 19+ pts: 50% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 22+ pts: 33% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 25+ pts: 20% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 28+ pts: 9.5% (24h change 0%)
governor9 marketsLIVE

New York Governor margin of victory

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