Live market summary
Fallon, 8+ pts is favored at 79% as of 21 Sep 2026, 19:05 UTC across 3 markets.
- Fallon, 8+ pts: 79% (24h change 0%)
- Fallon, 11+ pts: 76% (24h change 0%)
- Fallon, 26+ pts: 21% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Texas's 4th District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Texas's 4th District margin of victory?
Fallon, 8+ pts is favored at 79% as of 21 Sep 2026, 19:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Texas's 4th District margin of victory?
Fallon, 8+ pts: 79%; Fallon, 11+ pts: 76%; Fallon, 26+ pts: 21%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.