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Powered by KalshiTrump's approval rating on Aug 12, 2026?·39.2·99%(+94%)TN-06 House winner?·Mike Croley·93.8%(+88.8%)Who will be arrested in 2026?·Lee Jun-seok·98%(+87%)Which peptides will the FDA propose adding to the 503A Bulks List?·BPC-157·10%(-80%)Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?·Karoline Leavitt·99.2%(+78.2%)Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?·Missouri Amendment 3·96%(+75%)Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/10 - 8/16)·Above 225·10%(-67%)Malaysian general election winner?·PH-anchored coalition·30%(-64%)Alaska Senate primary: Dan J. Sullivan vote percent (1st Round)·At least 1%·12%(-64%)FL-11 Republican nominee?·Joe Strada·18%(-63%)Who will visit the White House in 2026?·Abelardo de la Espriella·7%(-60%)Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?·Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?·5.8%(-56.2%)MI-04 House winner?·Sean McCann·93%(+56%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·No new person·3%(-55%)TN-05 House winner?·Chaz Molder·6%(-54%)
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Summary

Republicans, 8+ pts is favored at 79% as of 13 Aug 2026, 02:34 UTC across 1 market. Kalshi odds.

  • Republicans, 8+ pts: 79% (24h change +79%)
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Texas's 4th District margin of victory

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