Powered by KalshiPeak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)·July 20·80%(+73%)How many Trump-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?·10·88%(+73%)Trump late night post this week? (7/26-8/1)·5-6 AM·99%(+71%)MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Wesley Bell, 6-9%·11%(-60%)NRCC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)·Above $75M·46%(-43%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 35·34%(-41%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·Alina Habba·60%(+41%)Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?·Before Jan 1, 2033·51%(+39%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·41%(-39%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?·Ron DeSantis·38%(-37%)KS-04 Democratic nominee?·Chris Carmichael·24%(-35%)Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)·Nick Begich III·75%(+34%)Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?·Before Jan 1, 2027·18%(-33%)Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?·Ron DeSantis·60%(+32%)Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister?·Before Oct 1, 2027·30%(-32%)

Powered by KalshiPeak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)·July 20·80%(+73%)How many Trump-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?·10·88%(+73%)Trump late night post this week? (7/26-8/1)·5-6 AM·99%(+71%)MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Wesley Bell, 6-9%·11%(-60%)NRCC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)·Above $75M·46%(-43%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 35·34%(-41%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·Alina Habba·60%(+41%)Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?·Before Jan 1, 2033·51%(+39%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·41%(-39%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?·Ron DeSantis·38%(-37%)KS-04 Democratic nominee?·Chris Carmichael·24%(-35%)Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)·Nick Begich III·75%(+34%)Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?·Before Jan 1, 2027·18%(-33%)Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?·Ron DeSantis·60%(+32%)Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister?·Before Oct 1, 2027·30%(-32%)

Summary

Republicans, 36+ pts is favored at 46% as of 12 Jul 2026, 06:06 UTC across 6 markets. Kalshi odds.

senate6 marketsLIVE

West Virginia Senate margin of victory

Odds history

Loading chart

All options

Republicans, 36+ pts

46%

—

$535

Republicans, 38+ pts

38%

—

$535

Republicans, 40+ pts

30%

—

$935

Republicans, 42+ pts

21%

—

$469

Republicans, 44+ pts

15%

—

$685

Republicans, 46+ pts

8.1%

—

$433