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Powered by KalshiWho will Trump pardon in 2026?·Leonard Glenn Francis·99%(+90%)Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Aug 2026?·Will any member of Congress be out as any member of Congress in Aug 2026?·12%(-83%)MI-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Donavan McKinney, 3-6%·96%(+78%)Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration·$52.5 trillion·15%(-76%)Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent·At least 49%·1%(-58%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/31-8/7)?·Above 38.1%·91%(+56%)WA-05 primary: who will advance?·Carmela Conroy·79%(+48%)DE-AL Republican nominee?·Earl Cooper·54%(-44%)FL-24 Democratic nominee?·Oliver Gilbert·26%(-42%)WA-08 primary: who will advance?·Trinh Ha·62%(+42%)Next French presidential election winner?·François Hollande·47%(+40%)Who will Trump pardon?·Torence Hatch·80%(+40%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 7, 2026?·Below 39.2·34%(-38%)Ohio's 7th District margin of victory·Republicans, 4+ pts·19%(-38%)How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional)·At least 3·82%(+37%)
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Summary

Above 2.60M is favored at 28% as of 31 Jul 2026, 21:02 UTC across 3 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Above 2.60M: 28% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 3.20M: 9% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 3.90M: 5% (24h change 0%)
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Minnesota Senate General Election: voter turnout

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