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Powered by KalshiWill California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?·Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?·3%(-87%)MI-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Donavan McKinney, 3-6%·98%(+80%)Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Aug 2026?·Will any member of Congress be out as any member of Congress in Aug 2026?·18%(-77%)Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration·$52.5 trillion·15%(-76%)WA-05 primary: who will advance?·Carmela Conroy·96%(+66%)Who will be arrested in 2026?·Lee Jae Myung·55%(+43%)WA-08 primary: who will advance?·Trinh Ha·62%(+42%)How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional)·At least 3·82%(+37%)When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney?·Before Oct 1, 2026·12%(-37%)Virginia's 4th District margin of victory·Democrats, 36+ pts·34%(-37%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/31-8/7)?·Above 38.1%·75%(+37%)TN-06 Democratic nominee?·Mike Croley·43%(+36%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 7, 2026?·Below 39.2·39%(-34%)North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout·Above 3.80M·86%(+34%)WI-08 Democratic nominee?·Katrina DeVille·17%(-34%)
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Summary

Above 3.80M is favored at 86% as of 5 Aug 2026, 22:33 UTC across 5 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Above 3.80M: 86% (24h change +34%)
  • Above 3.90M: 55% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 4.10M: 43% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 4.30M: 30% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 4.50M: 7% (24h change 0%)
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North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout

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Above 3.80M

86%
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