Jim Jordan is favored at 27% as of 7 Oct 2026, 23:05 UTC across 13 markets.
- Jim Jordan: 27% (24h change 0%)
- Steve Scalise: 15% (24h change 0%)
- Mike Johnson: 13% (24h change 0%)
- Hakeem Jeffries: 8% (24h change 0%)
- Tom Emmer: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Katherine Clark: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Pete Aguilar: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Joe Neguse: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Ted Lieu: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Lisa McClain: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Mike Lawler: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Jay Obernolte: 1% (24h change 0%)
Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?
Jim Jordan is favored at 27% as of 7 Oct 2026, 23:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?
Jim Jordan: 27%; Steve Scalise: 15%; Mike Johnson: 13%; Hakeem Jeffries: 8%; Tom Emmer: 3%; Katherine Clark: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.