Before Jan 1, 2027 is favored at 50% as of 14 Oct 2026, 03:35 UTC across 3 markets.
- Before Jan 1, 2027: 50% (24h change 0%)
- Before Dec 1, 2026: 34% (24h change 0%)
- Before Nov 1, 2026: 23% (24h change 0%)
Will Trump declare a national emergency?
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About this market
Market question: Will Trump declare a national emergency?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Will Trump declare a national emergency?
Before Jan 1, 2027 is favored at 50% as of 14 Oct 2026, 03:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Will Trump declare a national emergency?
Before Jan 1, 2027: 50%; Before Dec 1, 2026: 34%; Before Nov 1, 2026: 23%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.