Live market summary
Before Oct 1, 2026 is favored at 89% as of 5 Sep 2026, 19:34 UTC across 1 market.
- Before Oct 1, 2026: 89% (24h change 0%)
policy1 marketLIVE
Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Sep 2026?
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About this market
Market question: Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Sep 2026?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Sep 2026?
Before Oct 1, 2026 is favored at 89% as of 5 Sep 2026, 19:34 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Sep 2026?
Before Oct 1, 2026: 89%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.