Luis Antonio Tagle is favored at 4.2% as of 4 Oct 2026, 00:34 UTC across 7 markets.
- Luis Antonio Tagle: 4.2% (24h change 0%)
- Pietro Parolin: 4% (24h change -1.8%)
- Anders Arborelius: 3.6% (24h change +2.1%)
- Pierbattista Pizzaballa: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Matteo Zuppi: 2.4% (24h change 0%)
- Peter Erdo: 2.2% (24h change 0%)
- Fridolin Ambongo: 2% (24h change 0%)
Who will the next Pope be?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Who will the next Pope be?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Who will the next Pope be?
Luis Antonio Tagle is favored at 4.2% as of 4 Oct 2026, 00:34 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Who will the next Pope be?
Luis Antonio Tagle: 4.2%; Pietro Parolin: 4%; Anders Arborelius: 3.6%; Pierbattista Pizzaballa: 3%; Matteo Zuppi: 2.4%; Peter Erdo: 2.2%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.