Alice Weidel is favored at 21% as of 15 Oct 2026, 22:35 UTC across 3 markets.
- Alice Weidel: 21% (24h change 0%)
- Friedrich Merz: 19% (24h change 0%)
- Felix Banaszak: 12% (24h change 0%)
Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
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About this market
Market question: Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal elec?
Alice Weidel is favored at 21% as of 15 Oct 2026, 22:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal elec?
Alice Weidel: 21%; Friedrich Merz: 19%; Felix Banaszak: 12%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.