No other person is favored at 60% as of 4 Oct 2026, 05:04 UTC across 5 markets.
- No other person: 60% (24h change 0%)
- Robert O'Brien: 16% (24h change 0%)
- Ric Grenell: 15% (24h change 0%)
- Bill Hagerty: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Mike Waltz: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State?
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About this market
Market question: Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State?
No other person is favored at 60% as of 4 Oct 2026, 05:04 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State?
No other person: 60%; Robert O'Brien: 16%; Ric Grenell: 15%; Bill Hagerty: 4%; Mike Waltz: 0.1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.