Kemi Badenoch is favored at 22% as of 14 Oct 2026, 22:35 UTC across 6 markets.
- Kemi Badenoch: 22% (24h change 0%)
- Nigel Farage: 22% (24h change 0%)
- Shabana Mahmood: 21% (24h change 0%)
- Pat McFadden: 7% (24h change 0%)
- Richard Tice: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Angela Rayner: 2% (24h change 0%)
Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
Kemi Badenoch is favored at 22% as of 14 Oct 2026, 22:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
Kemi Badenoch: 22%; Nigel Farage: 22%; Shabana Mahmood: 21%; Pat McFadden: 7%; Richard Tice: 4%; Angela Rayner: 2%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.