Houston is favored at 18% as of 4 Oct 2026, 01:35 UTC across 5 markets.
- Houston: 18% (24h change 0%)
- Chicago: 17% (24h change 0%)
- San Francisco: 14% (24h change 0%)
- Detroit: 14% (24h change 0%)
- Portland: 11% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?
Houston is favored at 18% as of 4 Oct 2026, 01:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?
Houston: 18%; Chicago: 17%; San Francisco: 14%; Detroit: 14%; Portland: 11%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.