Live market summary
CDU is favored at 70% as of 29 Sep 2026, 04:34 UTC across 7 markets.
- CDU: 70% (24h change 0%)
- AfD: 15% (24h change 0%)
- Grüne: 5% (24h change 0%)
- SPD: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Die Linke: 3% (24h change 0%)
- BSW: 2% (24h change 0%)
- FDP: 2% (24h change 0%)
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North Rhine-Westphalia state election winner?
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About this market
Market question: North Rhine-Westphalia state election winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in North Rhine-Westphalia state election winner?
CDU is favored at 70% as of 29 Sep 2026, 04:34 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for North Rhine-Westphalia state election winner?
CDU: 70%; AfD: 15%; Grüne: 5%; SPD: 4%; Die Linke: 3%; BSW: 2%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.