Christopher Luxon is favored at 44% as of 10 Sep 2026, 06:05 UTC across 13 markets.
- Christopher Luxon: 44% (24h change 0%)
- Chris Bishop: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Chlöe Swarbrick: 2% (24h change 0%)
- David Seymour: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Debbie Ngarewa-Packer: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Erica Stanford: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Marama Davidson: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Mark Mitchell: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Nicola Willis: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Qiulae Wong: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Rawiri Waititi: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Simeon Brown: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Winston Peters: 1% (24h change 0%)
New Zealand Prime Minister after the election?
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Odds history
About this market
Market question: New Zealand Prime Minister after the election?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in New Zealand Prime Minister after the election?
Christopher Luxon is favored at 44% as of 10 Sep 2026, 06:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for New Zealand Prime Minister after the election?
Christopher Luxon: 44%; Chris Bishop: 2%; Chlöe Swarbrick: 2%; David Seymour: 2%; Debbie Ngarewa-Packer: 1%; Erica Stanford: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.